Anyone watching Watson (from IBM) play Jeopardy?
Deep Blue (an IBM research project) beat the world's chess champion.
Supposedly Jeopardy is an impossible game unless American English is your first language and you are extremely well
educated.
There is one more game at 7pm PST on Wednesday.
To watch Watson run away with the game on Tuesday was incredible. IBM may be showing us the future of computing and
robots and a lot more.
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Deep Blue beat Kasparov but Kasparov took it way too lightly. He didn't
leave enough time to recover between games and wore himself out. The
programmers for Deep Blue kept changing the algorithm between matches so the
weaknesses found in one game didn't exist in the next game.
If Deep Blue played today's chess champion there's a very good chance it
would lose. The champion wouldn't take the challenge lightly.
Bill Anderson
On Tue, Feb 15, 2011 at 7:30 PM, <kamcginnis@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> Anyone watching Watson (from IBM) play Jeopardy?
>
> Deep Blue (an IBM research project) beat the world's chess champion.
>
> Supposedly Jeopardy is an impossible game unless American English is your
> first language and you are extremely well
> educated.
>
> There is one more game at 7pm PST on Wednesday.
>
> To watch Watson run away with the game on Tuesday was incredible. IBM may
> be showing us the future of computing and
> robots and a lot more.
>
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As I understand Watson is passed a question in the form of a text string. A
number of questions come to my mind.
1) When does Watson get question? The question is spoken so the time between
when the sting is sent and the reader finishes speaking gives Watson all
that time to look up results.
2) Are questions phrased exactly as they appear in lookup tables?
Jerry Foote
-----Original Message-----
From: profox-bounces@leafe.com [mailto:profox-bounces@leafe.com] On Behalf
Of Bill Anderson
Sent: Wednesday, February 16, 2011 12:34 AM
To: ProFox Email List
Subject: Re: [NF] Jeopardy and Watson
Deep Blue beat Kasparov but Kasparov took it way too lightly. He didn't
leave enough time to recover between games and wore himself out. The
programmers for Deep Blue kept changing the algorithm between matches so the
weaknesses found in one game didn't exist in the next game.
If Deep Blue played today's chess champion there's a very good chance it
would lose. The champion wouldn't take the challenge lightly.
Bill Anderson
On Tue, Feb 15, 2011 at 7:30 PM, <kamcginnis@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> Anyone watching Watson (from IBM) play Jeopardy?
>
> Deep Blue (an IBM research project) beat the world's chess champion.
>
> Supposedly Jeopardy is an impossible game unless American English is your
> first language and you are extremely well
> educated.
>
> There is one more game at 7pm PST on Wednesday.
>
> To watch Watson run away with the game on Tuesday was incredible. IBM may
> be showing us the future of computing and
> robots and a lot more.
>
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multipart/alternative
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[excessive quoting removed by server]
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On Wed, Feb 16, 2011 at 7:30 AM, Jerry Foote <jerryf@footegroup.com> wrote:
> As I understand Watson is passed a question in the form of a text string. A
> number of questions come to my mind.
> 1) When does Watson get question? The question is spoken so the time between
> when the sting is sent and the reader finishes speaking gives Watson all
> that time to look up results.
> 2) Are questions phrased exactly as they appear in lookup tables?
------------
3) Does Watson have to fire a mechanical response to signal in the answer?
#2 I heard that it gets the same Q.
It first dissects the "Answer" to attempt to gain how to query. Is
the Question about Literature, artists, places, history. It then does
multiple queries and scores the results to determine the best
"Question" and provide that winner.
--
Stephen Russell
Sr. Production Systems Programmer
CIMSgts
901.246-0159 cell
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Stephen Russell wrote:
> On Wed, Feb 16, 2011 at 7:30 AM, Jerry Foote <jerryf@footegroup.com> wrote:
>> As I understand Watson is passed a question in the form of a text string. A
>> number of questions come to my mind.
I didn't know that. I thought it was a very impressive display of
speech recognition. As a parse and query exercise, not nearly as
imporessive.
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You may not think its so impressive - but, I beg to differ.
The BIG deal is the formatting of the questions, and the Strange
phrasing that is VERY Typical in Jeopardy. So - its all about
understanding natural language.
I recorded the shows on my Tivo - and will also be getting the show
tonite.
I watched the 1st show, and finished up to about 1/2 of the 2nd show.
Its pretty AMAZING indeed! And, my son - who is 9 - is ALSO Really
enjoying watching it with me. We also found it VERY Fascinating - that
the 1st 1/3 of the show each night is giving the audience all the
background about Watson - including spec's on the computing power HW -
and showing us the actual computers & rooms, the footage of earlier test
Jeopardy games (not done w/Alex Trebeck), and also interviews with many
of the developers. Its really pretty wild stuff - and definitely a HUGE
Leap in computing technology. I also read a whole NY Times Mag article
about it - so I knew in advance a lot of details about the project -
even way before the show was aired!
Stephen - in regards to your question. Yes - then actually have a
Mechanical setup that allows Watson to ACTUALLY push the Buzzer - to
Buzz in and say he is ready to answer.
Jerry - as for the timing when Watson gets the question - I am not sure
about that. It was mentioned in the magazine article. I think Watson
gets the question at the moment its presented to the audience & the
other players. But, like the other players - he is NOT allowed to answer
until the question has been read completely!
For those who haven't watched it yet - here's a little more about what
we get to see.
There is a Graphical "Avatar" that represents Watson. The colors &
graphics changed depending on what Watson is doing - as he's analyzing a
question - and even when he has an answer and how "Confident" he is
about the answers. Also, what is displayed at the bottom of the screen
for us to see on TV is a kind of horizontal bar chart with numbers.
Watson comes up with various possible answers. The TOP 3 are displayed -
along with a "confidence" level percentage. There is a vertical line
that is displayed - and Watson will ONLY give an answer if his Top
answer actually goes beyond that vertical line. The exception being
Double-Jeopardy, which he MUST give an answer. And, since his top answer
did NOT reach that vertical line during the one Double-Jeopardy question
I saw - he actually said something like "I Think" or "I will Guess that
the answer is"! I forget the exact wording - but, I thought it was
pretty cool - since he was NOT sure of his answer. But, in the end - he
still had the right answer! Also - at one point - for the Double
Jeopardy - he gave this very exact wager $ amount - like $3675 - and the
whole audience Erupted with Laughter. Because - a human Never on the
show gives such an Exact wager like that!
Anyway - I guess that's it for now. I TOO look forwards to seeing the
rest of the shows w/Watson!
-K-
-----Original Message-----
From: profoxtech-bounces@leafe.com [mailto:profoxtech-bounces@leafe.com]
On Behalf Of Vincent Teachout
Sent: Wednesday, February 16, 2011 9:21 AM
To: profoxtech@leafe.com
Subject: Re: [NF] Jeopardy and Watson
Stephen Russell wrote:
> On Wed, Feb 16, 2011 at 7:30 AM, Jerry Foote <jerryf@footegroup.com>
wrote:
>> As I understand Watson is passed a question in the form of a text
string. A
>> number of questions come to my mind.
I didn't know that. I thought it was a very impressive display of
speech recognition. As a parse and query exercise, not nearly as
imporessive.
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> -----Original Message-----
> From: profoxtech-bounces@leafe.com
[mailto:profoxtech-bounces@leafe.com]
> On Behalf Of Kurt Wendt
> Sent: Wednesday, February 16, 2011 8:13 AM
> To: profoxtech@leafe.com
> Subject: RE: [NF] Jeopardy and Watson
>
> You may not think its so impressive - but, I beg to differ.
>
<snipped>
I'm prolly just naive, but this machine doesn't really impress me...
(though I admit I haven't watched it - TV isn't really my thing).
Sure it's cool that it can parse the English language as well as it does
(probably a LOT better than I could - but then again, I'm not an
IBM'er), but the fact that this device is dedicated to only one thing
turns this into merely an amusing demonstration of computing power...
When a single machine can walk out into a forest and sit there for two
weeks (about as long as a human can reasonably go without food i.e.
power) AND play chess AND play Jeopardy, and decide which clothes to put
on my 7 year old daughter for school, THEN I'll be pretty impressed...
Some day the electricity is going to be shut off - we'd better not ever
depend on these machines too much...
Thanks,
Matthew Jarvis || Business Systems Analyst
IT Department
McKenzie-Willamette Medical Center
1460 G Street, Springfield, OR 97477 || Ph: 541-744-6092 || Fax:
541-744-6145
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Hey there Matthew,
Here's the deal. In regards to what you mentioned below "...the fact
that this device is dedicated to only one thing..." - this is not quite
true.
You see - this issue was actually discussed in that NY Times article.
And, its your point that actually represents the HUGE difference between
the BigBlue chess system vs. this "Jeopardy" system. I put that in
quotes - since right now the system was geared towards playing Jeopardy.
However, in fact - that is only the FIRST Implementation of the
technology - and the possibilities for future applications is EXACTLY
WHAT makes it so Exciting!
You see - the Chess system could ONLY play chess. But, this system is
based upon receiving a Question - which, as in the case in point for
Jeopardy - can be based upon a HUGE range of topics. And, then the
system must analyze the question (or - in particular w/Jeopardy - it's
the Answer it analyzes - in order to come up with the Question!).
But, this same technology can potentially be applied to a HUGE number of
diverse subject matters and applications. For instance, give it medical
data - and have it used in Emergency rooms. If you ever watch House
(yeah, I know its fictional - but, there is some reality to it) - a
patient comes in with a strange problem. And, during the show - House
and his associates must analyze the patient - and try to figure out what
the Heck is wrong with them. This would be a perfect application for
"Watson".
Or, how about as a sophisticated business tool? One could use it to help
make advanced business decisions.
I believe the article also mentioned using the system for something like
1st level Tech Support.
So - I hope this makes sense - and maybe now you might see why the
possibilities are almost endless. And, that the Watson project can
Actually end up being something useful - Beyond just playing Jeopardy!
-K-
-----Original Message-----
From: profoxtech-bounces@leafe.com [mailto:profoxtech-bounces@leafe.com]
On Behalf Of Jarvis, Matthew
Sent: Wednesday, February 16, 2011 11:55 AM
To: profoxtech@leafe.com
Subject: RE: [NF] Jeopardy and Watson
> -----Original Message-----
> From: profoxtech-bounces@leafe.com
[mailto:profoxtech-bounces@leafe.com]
> On Behalf Of Kurt Wendt
> Sent: Wednesday, February 16, 2011 8:13 AM
> To: profoxtech@leafe.com
> Subject: RE: [NF] Jeopardy and Watson
>
> You may not think its so impressive - but, I beg to differ.
>
<snipped>
I'm prolly just naive, but this machine doesn't really impress me...
(though I admit I haven't watched it - TV isn't really my thing).
Sure it's cool that it can parse the English language as well as it does
(probably a LOT better than I could - but then again, I'm not an
IBM'er), but the fact that this device is dedicated to only one thing
turns this into merely an amusing demonstration of computing power...
When a single machine can walk out into a forest and sit there for two
weeks (about as long as a human can reasonably go without food i.e.
power) AND play chess AND play Jeopardy, and decide which clothes to put
on my 7 year old daughter for school, THEN I'll be pretty impressed...
Some day the electricity is going to be shut off - we'd better not ever
depend on these machines too much...
Thanks,
Matthew Jarvis || Business Systems Analyst
IT Department
McKenzie-Willamette Medical Center
1460 G Street, Springfield, OR 97477 || Ph: 541-744-6092 || Fax:
541-744-6145
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On 16/02/2011 11:07 a.m., Stephen Russell wrote:
> On Wed, Feb 16, 2011 at 7:30 AM, Jerry Foote<jerryf@footegroup.com> wrote:
>> As I understand Watson is passed a question in the form of a text string. A
>> number of questions come to my mind.
>> 1) When does Watson get question? The question is spoken so the time between
>> when the sting is sent and the reader finishes speaking gives Watson all
>> that time to look up results.
>> 2) Are questions phrased exactly as they appear in lookup tables?
> ------------
>
> 3) Does Watson have to fire a mechanical response to signal in the answer?
>
> #2 I heard that it gets the same Q.
>
> It first dissects the "Answer" to attempt to gain how to query. Is
> the Question about Literature, artists, places, history. It then does
> multiple queries and scores the results to determine the best
> "Question" and provide that winner.
Ok, but remember... it is not about a bear dancing well, it is about a
bear dancing.
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Wait til they teach Watson to lie.
--- On Wed, 2/16/11, Ricardo Aráoz <ricaraoz@gmail.com> wrote:
> From: Ricardo Aráoz <ricaraoz@gmail.com>
> Subject: Re: [NF] Jeopardy and Watson
> To: "ProFox Email List" <profox@leafe.com>
> Date: Wednesday, February 16, 2011, 12:30 PM
> On 16/02/2011 11:07 a.m., Stephen
> Russell wrote:
> > On Wed, Feb 16, 2011 at 7:30 AM, Jerry Foote<jerryf@footegroup.com>
> wrote:
> >> As I understand Watson is passed a question in the
> form of a text string. A
> >> number of questions come to my mind.
> >> 1) When does Watson get question? The question is
> spoken so the time between
> >> when the sting is sent and the reader finishes
> speaking gives Watson all
> >> that time to look up results.
> >> 2) Are questions phrased exactly as they appear in
> lookup tables?
> > ------------
> >
> > 3) Does Watson have to fire a mechanical response to
> signal in the answer?
> >
> > #2 I heard that it gets the same Q.
> >
> > It first dissects the "Answer" to attempt to gain how
> to query. Is
> > the Question about Literature, artists, places,
> history. It then does
> > multiple queries and scores the results to determine
> the best
> > "Question" and provide that winner.
>
> Ok, but remember... it is not about a bear dancing well, it
> is about a
> bear dancing.
>
>
>
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